The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 jeopardizes the country's independence and its chances for Western-style development. However, the heroic attitude of the Ukrainian people, combined with a solidifying national identity, makes the domestic foundations for a western turn stronger than ever. After the invasion, building strong foundations of liberal democracy will be a top priority. In addition to alleviating immediate problems, the country must also address its post-communist legacy and address the constraints of patronalism.
The authors of this edited volume, leading Ukrainian scholars supplemented by colleagues from Hungary, examine the chances of an anti-patronal transformation after the war. The book provides an overview of the development of Ukraine's political-economic system: color revolutions in 2004 and 2014 brought democratic transformation, but no change in the patronage system The result was patronal regime cycles instead of the emergence of a Western-type liberal democracy in the country. Building on the conceptual framework of the editors' The Anatomy of Post-Communist Regimes (CEU Press, 2020), the 12 chapters examine the impact of the war on patronal democracy, the relational economy, clientelist society, and the international environment in which Ukraine operates.
This collection is complemented by the book entitled Russia. Imperial Endeavor and Geopolitical Consequences.
Bálint Madlovics (*1993) is a political scientist and economist. He is a junior research fellow at the CEU Democracy Institute. He holds MA in Political Science (2018) from Central European University in Budapest, and BA in Applied Economics (2016) from Corvinus University of Budapest.
Bálint Magyar is Research Fellow at CEU Democracy Institute, working on the subject of patronalism in post-communist countries.
He was a member of the Hungarian Parliament (1990-2010). As a Minister of Education (1996-1998; 2002-2006) he initiated and carried out reforms in public and higher education.
Chronology of Modern Ukraine (1922–2022)
Preface
Henry E. Hale
I. Ukraine’s Patronal Democracy: Actors, Processes, and Social Roots
Ukrainian Regime Cycles and the Russian Invasion
Bálint Madlovics and Bálint Magyar
Patronalism and Limited Access Social Order: The Case of Ukraine
Vladimir Dubrovskiy
Continuity and Change of the Social Contract in Ukraine: The Case of Contested Anti-Corruption Policies
Oksana Huss
Regime Cycles and Neopatrimonialism in Ukraine
Oleksandr Fisun, Uliana Movchan
War, De-oligarchization, and the Possibility of Anti-Patronal Transformation in Ukraine
Mikhail Minakov
II. Oligarchic Structures and the War: A Chance for Anti-Patronal Transformation?
Ukrainian Oligarchs: The War as a Challenge
Igor Burakovsky, Stanislav Yukhymenko
Ukraine’s Energy Sovereignty in Time of War: Russia Lost Influence, but the Oligarchs Did Not
Dmytro Tuzhanskyi
The Main Driving Forces of De-Patronalization in Ukraine: The Role of Ukrainian Business
Vladimir Dubrovskiy
Ukraine’s Criminal Ecosystem and the War: Ukrainian Organized Crime in 2022
Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime - GI-TOC
III. The Ukrainian Society: Anti-Patronal Changes in Identity and Activism
From Patronalism to Civic Belonging: The Changing Dynamics of the National-Civic Identity in Ukraine
Evgenii Golovakha, Kateryna Ivashchenko Stadnik, Oksana Mikheieva, Viktoryia Sereda
The Ukrainian Civil Volunteer Movement during Wartime (2014–2022)
Csilla Fedinec
Ukraine’s Religious Landscape: Between Repression and Pluralism
Denis Brylov, Tetiana Kalenychenko
Transforming Patronal Democracy Bottom-Up: Two Logics of Local Governance in Ukraine
Oleksandra Keudel
Contributors
Index
